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Newspoll Boost for Missing in Action PM

August 7, 2012

We still hate them both…

It appears that the less the electorate sees or hears from Julia Gillard the more popular Labor becomes.

The latest Newspoll published in teh Australian shows a significant nudge upwards in Labor’s primary vote, climbing by five points.

This is its best primary vote since February, and coincides with the PM taking a week of leave.

The result coincides with Wayne Swan’s bizarre homemade homage to his idol and mentor Bruce Springsteen, and follows Craig “Skyhooks” Emerson’s extraordinary rendition of the popular 1970’s band’s pop hit “Horror Movie” outside Parliament house earlier this year.

Labor’s primary vote now sits at 33 per cent, up from 28 per cent a fortnight ago.

It appears that the “viral sensation” of the “At Home with Wayne Swan” YouTube hit has resonated with voters (presumably the outer Westerns suburbs variety).

The Coalition’s primary vote fell one point to 45 per cent, while support for the Greens also dropped one point to 10 per cent.

However, the Coalition still leads the Government 46 to 54 per cent on a two-party preferred basis, down from 56 to 44 per cent when the previous Newspoll was taken a fortnight ago.

Prime Minister Julia Gillard still trails Opposition Leader Tony Abbott in the preferred prime minister stakes by 36 to 38 per cent.

However, 26 per cent were undecided about whether they would prefer Ms Gillard or Mr Abbott as prime minister.

Both Leaders remain hugely unpopular with the public.

Which makes one wonder how different things could be if they actually had leaders that people liked.

 

 

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42 Comments leave one →
  1. August 7, 2012 10:04 am

    I suspect Labor won some hearts (back from the Greens) with the NDIS.

    It was clever, to be fair. Announce an unfunded popular policy right before the Olympics, call the Coalition pricks for talking about affordability, fck off on holiday, then come back and blame the States for hiking electricity prices.

  2. Splatterbottom permalink
    August 7, 2012 10:08 am

    “This is its best primary vote since February, and coincides with the PM taking a week of leave.

    The result coincides with Wayne Swan’s bizarre homemade homage to his idol and mentor Bruce Springsteen, and follows Craig “Skyhooks” Emerson’s extraordinary rendition of the popular 1970’s band’s pop hit “Horror Movie” outside Parliament house earlier this year.”

    So the next election will be about who is the biggest fan of the coolest band? Maybe deep inside every politician there is a wannabe rockstar wanking away in there.

    At one stage I thought our political leaders were pretty smart – like Hawke or Keating. Sadly now we are reverting to re-run of the Billy McMahon era.

  3. August 7, 2012 10:16 am

    Julie Bishop has another theory…

    She thinks the poll boost is because everyone is too distracted by the Olympics, therefore must’ve forgotten to stop hating Labor…

    http://www.news.com.au/breaking-news/national/abbott-brushes-off-labors-poll-jump/story-e6frfku9-1226444542774

    (She always has been a strange one…)

  4. Splatterbottom permalink
    August 7, 2012 10:23 am

    I like the strange ones. Like Mary-Jo Fisher. Strange ones don’t make good leaders – see Mark Latham and now Julia Gillard. It must be the pressure.

  5. el gordo permalink
    August 7, 2012 10:47 am

    ‘Both Leaders remain hugely unpopular with the public.’

    At least the mad monk’s minders are working hard to make him human….it may take a little while to show up in the polls.

  6. August 7, 2012 10:57 am

    “it may take a little while to show up in the polls”

    I’d estimate roughly by 1810.

  7. Tom of Melbourne permalink
    August 7, 2012 11:29 am

    There can be only one explanation for the bounce. It must be because the HATE MEDIA has turned into the “love media”

  8. el gordo permalink
    August 7, 2012 3:27 pm

    Joan of Arc was naive when young and inspired her troops with visionary stories…by coincidence she also had Julia’s hair colouring.

  9. August 7, 2012 3:36 pm

    Does anyone get the impression that the populace at large thinks of the Government kind of like a football or pinata. Raise it a couple of points because it will get you better purchase next time when you kick/hit it?

  10. JAWS permalink
    August 7, 2012 3:47 pm

    LOL

    But I do think this is the worse thing that could happen to the ALP. It just gives Julia breathing space until everyone has their first quarter gas and electricity bill.

    The ALP does not have the time to bask in the warmth of a tiny rise in the polls.

    Beats me why she’d even comment on state by state power prices and put the “lived experience” of the carbon tax front and centre again. I would have thought they’d want it to fade into the background.

  11. August 7, 2012 3:49 pm

    “Beats me why she’d even comment on state by state power prices and put the “lived experience” of the carbon tax front and centre again.”

    Could it be because she’s “an amateur?”

  12. TB Queensland permalink
    August 7, 2012 3:52 pm

    I would have thought they’d want it to fade into the background.

    And then have to explain the difference anyway when people get their next power bill?

    Strike first and strike hard!

  13. el gordo permalink
    August 7, 2012 4:23 pm

    ‘Could it be because she’s “an amateur?”

    True, she’s politically stupid like Craig, who kept on talking to the media even after giving his speech to Parliament. They just don’t understand how to play.

  14. JAWS permalink
    August 7, 2012 4:36 pm

    She’s just “Young and Naive”

  15. el gordo permalink
    August 7, 2012 4:42 pm

    ‘Strike first and strike hard!’

    Hmmm….

    ‘RENTERS, pensioners and other low-income earners are paying for their wealthier neighbours to enjoy cheaper power under the state’s skyrocketing solar subsidy system.

    ‘The Queensland Consumers Association says costs to subsidise solar are forecast to triple, as the state’s bill to fund the scheme continues to grow.

    ‘More than 100,000 applications were received last month from homeowners wanting to profit from the state’s generous 44c per kilowatt hour tariff – twice the retail power rate – which will continue for 16 years.’

    Tuck Thompson in the Courier Mail

  16. Wilful Contrarian permalink
    August 7, 2012 4:43 pm

    Theres nuts in Bolts and Bolts a nut.

  17. Splatterbottom permalink
    August 7, 2012 4:56 pm

    “The Queensland Consumers Association says costs to subsidise solar are forecast to triple, as the state’s bill to fund the scheme continues to grow.”

    It would be nice to know how much all that “alternative energy” subsidy costs. It is probably not classified as a cost of the carbon tax, but it has a very material impact on electricity bills. And in one crucial sense it is identical to the carbon tax since its only purpose is making residents of the lower north shore feel good about themselves.

  18. el gordo permalink
    August 7, 2012 5:03 pm

    Julia Gillard ‘has the credibility of a cane toad’.

    Yep …undoubtedly.

  19. armchair opinionator permalink
    August 7, 2012 6:07 pm

    “gold medal hypocrisy”

    How much brainstorming did it take for the ssc [ simple slogan committee ™ ] to come up with that one 😆

    Must have been an urgent consultation, requiring all members [past & present] of the Wiggles!

  20. TB Queensland permalink
    August 7, 2012 6:19 pm

    RENTERS, pensioners and other low-income earners are paying for their wealthier neighbours to enjoy cheaper power under the state’s skyrocketing solar subsidy system.

    … and is a state issue not the Federal Government … just ask ToM … he seems to know everything about anything … 😉

    ‘More than 100,000 applications were received last month from homeowners wanting to profit from the state’s generous 44c per kilowatt hour tariff – twice the retail power rate – which will continue for 16 years.’

    Did you apply, egg?*

    Live in an Uber Kapital state and play by their rules and eventually you’ll hear someone say …

    I prefer to live in a society rather than survive in an economy!

    Yer can’t have yer cake and eat it … if you think that the LibNats will help “renters, pensioners and other (sic) low-income earners …” then don’t hold your breathe …

    * I have … another 3.3Kw going on my roof “whenever” (a total of 4.3 … we use 3.7) my son is earning five bucks a day … systems are limited to 5Kw …

  21. el gordo permalink
    August 7, 2012 6:35 pm

    ‘Did you apply, egg?*’

    No, I live south of the border. Anyway the whole thing is a wank… for me its a matter of principle …solar can’t carry base load and the subsidy is based on the fallacy that CO2 is a pollutant.

    Its all very sad, really.

  22. August 7, 2012 7:20 pm

    Around a half of my shift has put on solar panels in the last couple of years.

    They have neutralised their power bills & often actually end up making money per qtr. It’s fine if you have a well paying job & you can afford the initial set up cost. In fact, given the cost of power in SA these days, you have to be stupid not to put on as many panels & as good an inverter as you can afford.

  23. TB Queensland permalink
    August 7, 2012 7:34 pm

    solar can’t carry base load

    Of course it can’t ..ut it can carry my load!

  24. August 7, 2012 7:39 pm

    *cough* *cough* * ahem*

  25. Tom of Melbourne permalink
    August 7, 2012 8:29 pm

    As risk of boring people (again), I was at a CEDA http://ceda.com.au/ forum a while ago, on alternative energy.

    Apparently Australia can supply clean solar energy for ourselves, with an installation 70km x 70km… but the cost will be about 70% higher than at present.

    We hear plenty of the technology vendors talk up the benefits of the technology, they have $$$billions of stuff to sell.

  26. el gordo permalink
    August 7, 2012 8:33 pm

    ”We’ll be spending $3.5 billion on overseas carbon credits in 2020 … it is an astronomical amount of money … I think it’s very hard to take seriously a plan which is proposing to spend that much money overseas,” Abbott has said, often adding that the government is ”throwing itself on the mercy” of ”dodgy carbon traders” in questionable countries such as Equatorial Guinea and Kazakhstan.’

    Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/environment/climate-change/simply-may-not-be-the-best-with-carbon-20110715-1hhz0.html#ixzz22qynAOyy

    A redistribution of wealth to poorer ‘earthians’ is acceptable, but not this way. If you want to live in a world society based on economic irrationalism, then carbon credits is the scam for you.

    The scientific imperative is badly flawed, no due diligence, so much money spent building desal plants and other green ideals, based on a scientific theory now proved wrong.

    Yet the propaganda continues in the msm.

    On this issue of CO2 as pollutant…both Julia and Abbott are fkn dills. No wonder the people despise them.

  27. armchair opinionator permalink
    August 7, 2012 11:12 pm

    …based on a scientific theory now proved wrong.

    When did this happen? Repeating something over and over doesn’t make it true.
    Last time I saw anything by the experts [like hanson’s latest], it is even more acknowledged.

    http://www.sbs.com.au/news/article/1678036/Scientist-blames-climate-change-for-heat

    A top NASA scientist says his grim predictions about climate change two decades ago were not grim enough.
    Human-driven climate change is to blame for a series of increasingly hot summers and the situation is already worse than was expected just two decades ago, a top NASA scientist says…

    “I have a confession to make: I was too optimistic,” Hansen wrote.

    “My projections about increasing global temperature have been proved true. But I failed to fully explore how quickly that average rise would drive an increase in extreme weather.”…

    Then we have the evidence based conversion of the former sceptic Richard Muller.

    http://www.smh.com.au/world/climate-change-sceptics-unwarmed-by-scientists-reassessment-of-cold-facts-20120730-23agk.html

    …Professor Muller’s team, partly funded by US fossil fuel interests, has now made public its findings and concluded that human emissions are in fact driving climate change — at a slightly faster rate than that asserted by the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change…

    …Professor Muller said the results had prompted a “total turnaround” in his views. “We were not expecting this, but as scientists, it is our duty to let the evidence change our minds.”…

  28. el gordo permalink
    August 8, 2012 8:04 am

    Kitty I don’t wish to offend the blogmasta with any further discussion on this thread, except to say that SBS is a major player in disseminating propaganda and Muller admits elsewhere he wasn’t really a sceptic.

  29. Tom of Melbourne permalink
    August 8, 2012 11:42 am

    Someone might explain what the purpose of the carbon tax is, if not to increase the price of energy supplied by traditional power. It is apparently a price mechanism (ie increase) that has the objectives of encouraging more frugal energy use, and to allow alternative sources of power generation to be more competitively priced (in relative terms).

    The premise is higher prices results in lower consumption. Lower price increases consumption. Why is Gillard seeking to introduce price changes that are counter to the intention of the carbon price/tax?

    In short, states are increasing prices, which is also the intention of the federal government.

    this is the type of comment/question that the “Free Speech” at Cafe Whispers advocates find so confronting!

  30. August 8, 2012 12:03 pm

    “the free speech advocates”

    OH HOW WE LAUGHED….!!!! 🙂

  31. armchair opinionator permalink
    August 8, 2012 12:13 pm

    Kitty I don’t wish to offend the blogmasta with any further discussion on this thread, except to say that SBS is a major player in disseminating propaganda and Muller admits elsewhere he wasn’t really a sceptic.

    I know where the propaganda comes from eg and it ain’t SBS and Muller. Muller took all that money from the fossil fuel industry just to prove himself wrong? 😉

  32. armchair opinionator permalink
    August 8, 2012 12:46 pm

    “…When the Best project was announced last year, the prominent climate sceptic blogger Anthony Watts was consulted on the methodology. He stated at the time: “I’m prepared to accept whatever result they produce, even if it proves my premise wrong.” However, tensions have since arisen between Watts and Muller…”

    Watts = BIG FAT LIAR!

    Why is Gillard seeking to introduce price changes that are counter to the intention of the carbon price/tax?

    Not price changes but proper regulation [which should already have existed IMO] There’s a difference between gouging for personal [state] profit and competitive market pricing, especially when the consumers have little info and options.

    Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/political-news/gillard-threatens-to-use-shock-therapy-on-electricity-prices-20120807-23sbw.html#ixzz22v0FDXZA

    …Ms Gillard cited the NSW government as the chief culprit as she threatened to give greater powers to the Australian Energy Regulator, and the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission, to restrict price rises…

    …But the regulator operates within a constrained framework, which… limited the ability of the federal regulator to keep the prices low. Furthermore, the appeals process favoured the network owners…

    In such an important issue, why didn’t the federal regulator already have full powers and why should networks be favoured in the process?

    It is the market that is the problem, it is a failure, but the losers [consumers/taxpayers] are always the ones to bear the cost of market failure.

  33. JAWS permalink
    August 8, 2012 12:55 pm

    “It is the market that is the problem, it is a failure, but the losers [consumers/taxpayers] are always the ones to bear the cost of market failure.”

    Yes the Market did fail.

    Chiefly due to the massive impact of subsidies to inefficient and costly “Green” energy schemes (Solar & Wind) which now form a large part of each NSW consumers power bill.

  34. August 8, 2012 1:27 pm

    Watts = BIG FAT LIAR!

    How so?

  35. Sup? permalink
    August 8, 2012 2:09 pm

    Watts doesn’t like the way Mueller does grand press releases before his studies are peer reviewed. Like James Hansen has just done. That way “climate scientists” get all the PR and fame they yearn for, but if the paper fails review – as Gergis et al did – so what? Their political goals are already achieved.

  36. August 8, 2012 2:28 pm

    Yes the Market did fail.

    Chiefly due to the massive impact of subsidies to inefficient and costly “Green” energy schemes (Solar & Wind) which now form a large part of each NSW consumers power bill.

    Geez, that sounds awfully like the Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae “market failure”.

  37. Klimate Scientologist permalink
    August 8, 2012 3:44 pm

    Just a reminder of the dignified manner in which real climate scientists go about their business. Ailie Gallant, featured in this instructional film, is a co-author of the Gergis et al paper)

    (Work warning: bad language.)

  38. Klimate Scientologist permalink
    August 8, 2012 3:48 pm

    NTTAWWT 😉

  39. JAWS permalink
    August 8, 2012 3:50 pm

    “…that sounds awfully like the Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae “market failure”.

    Yep

    Carbon Copy Failure

  40. August 8, 2012 5:48 pm

    Get back on your marginal thread, zealots!

  41. Tom of Melbourne permalink
    August 9, 2012 11:21 am

    Several years ago Blogocracy debating opponent used to have some courage, they would confront those with an alternative opinion, and debate!

    Not now, they skulk away, delete comments and ban free speech. They know who I’m talking about too.

    We used to argue about stuff like “union control” or “unhealthy influence” over the ALP.

    Often people like me, who had some experience in the ALP would be shouted down (or banned) by those with no experience in the ALP, but at least they would have the nerve to express an opinion on the subject.

    Interestingly, today there is more evidence that I was right, and they were wrong! Have a read of the quote from former ALP Minister, ALP National President and very intelligent individual, Barry Jones. When he starts talking about “union ownership” of the ALP, the barrackers should start listening!

    In the lifetime of this Prime Minister, the ALP as an organisation has become increasingly unrepresentative of the community at large, and even of Labor voters.
    The party’s owners, people like Paul Howes, Tony Sheldon and (until recently) Michael Williamson, think that the priority is for them to keep control of their property. They were not unduly worried when the ALP’s primary vote in the New South Wales state election in March 2011 fell to 25.6 per cent. From the Howes-Sheldon perspective, all was well because they were still running the show.
    They regard the opinions of voters outside their unions as totally irrelevant; after all, they haven’t met many.
    The ALP must turn outward, embrace democracy and reject oligarchy,

    Read more: http://www.theage.com.au/opinion/politics/stupidity-is-on-the-rise-in-our-age-of-enlightenment-20120808-23uiq.html#ixzz230VWsAMx

  42. JAWS permalink
    August 9, 2012 11:38 am

    Yes ToM, they need policies that will appeal to their old members who are now self employed driving around in a Hilux with a labourer in the cabin and Staffie on the tray guarding a steel tool box

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