Newspoll Versus Morgan: The Criminal Tendency Of Murdoch’s Numbers
The following article is by Bob Ellis…
In its most audacious fraud in many a year Murdoch’s Newspoll showed Abbott’s government gaining half a million votes in the fortnight when he insulted the Irish, the Jews, the Aborigines, the United States and the Senate, backflipped on auto manufacturing and lied about submarines, and Pyne in a crazy shrieking outburst swore he’d sack seventeen hundred scientists if the Senate did not agree to pauper all future students by Tuesday, and when they wouldn’t do that weirdly chirped, ‘I fixed it.’
A simultaneous poll by Morgan had Labor with seven hundred thousand more votes, on 56 percent, than Newspoll’s 51 percent. When Paul Bongiorno noted this contrast, Fran Kelly threw him out of the studio.
Morgan always gets it right; in Queensland, it said, correctly, 49.5 for Labor and ‘too close to call’. And, however Newspoll dresses up its mendacity — preference flow as in 2013; numbers ‘weighted’ to reflect the population distribution; 9 percent ‘refused’ or ‘undecided’ excluded — it can only be guilty, this week and often, of criminal fraud.
For it is not likely that the Coalition gained half a million votes while Pyne behaved as madly as he did last week; while Abbott said Shorten was like Goebbels and deficits for sixty years were ‘not so bad, considering’; while the Moss Report revealed that blow-jobs for marihuana had become the currency of Nauru on Morrison’s watch and children were suiciding, and Morrison told pensioners they would get less money hereafter, and for the rest of their lives, precisely when they needed more.
But, like the Emperor’s new clothes, we are told by Col Allen there was no harm done Abbott that week, that fortnight, and the preposterous headline, TURNAROUND TONY, is thereby improbably, miraculously affirmed.
Yet the fact is pretty much what Morgan said it was: that the Coalition, in Pyne’s maddest week, and Abbott’s and Hockey’s most shamed one, lost three hundred thousand votes which it might not get back.
And, were an election held on Saturday, Labor would gain fifty or fifty-two seats, and the Greens two or three.
And no amount of shonky twisting and wrestling and mangling of numbers will get those lost sheep back.
And so it goes.
Robert “Bob” Ellis is an Australian writer, journalist, film maker and political commentator.