‘Budget Bounce’ over for the LNP as ALP regain momentum with Shorten’s call for Same-sex marriage
Support for the Federal Govt has slumped 2% to 47% while support for Labor has climbed 2% to 53% according to this week’s Morgan Poll.
The poll was conducted over the last two weekends of May 23/24 & 30/31, 2015, with an Australia-wide cross-section of 3,140 Australian electors.
If a Federal Election were held today the ALP would win easily.
Primary support for the LNP fell to 41% (down 0.5%) ahead of the ALP 37% (up 1.5%).
Support for the other parties shows the Greens at 13% (up 0.5%), Katter’s Australian Party 1.5% (unchanged), Palmer United Party (PUP) 1% (down 0.5%), while the Independents/Others were 6.5% (down 1%).
The ‘Budget Bounce’ for the Coalition Government has proved short-lived with the regaining a clear advantage over the LNP on a two-party preferred basis after Opposition Leader Bill Shorten promised to introduce a private member’s bill to Parliament to allow for a redefinition of marriage under Australian law.
Bill Shorten has seized on the groundswell of public support for marriage equality following the results of the Irish referendum last week in which Irish electors decided by a clear margin (Yes 62%, No 38%) to change the Irish definition of marriage to include same-sex relationships.
A Roy Morgan poll conducted in 2011 found an even larger majority of Australians (68%) support the right of gay people to get married compared to only 30% who think they shouldn’t have this right.
In addition, other Roy Morgan research shows an increasing majority of Australians believe homosexual couples should be allowed to adopt children. In 2010 just under half of Australians (48%) agreed homosexual couples should be allowed to adopt children and this figure has increased steadily each year since – to 51% in 2011, 56% in 2012, 58% in 2013 and 61% in 2014.
There have already been several attempts to legislate for same-sex marriage in Australia, including an attempt by the Australian Capital Territory to change the definition of marriage in the ACT which was ultimately reversed by the High Court on constitutional grounds following a challenge by the Federal Government which wanted to prevent a multitude of definitions of marriage being introduced in Australia.
Although Shorten introduced his same-sex marriage bill to the Lower House of Parliament today, less than half the chamber was in attendance with only a handful of Government MPs there to witness Shorten introducing his bill.
Shorten’s private member’s bill is the third same-sex marriage bill before Parliament along with similar bills by Liberal Democrat Senator David Leyonhjelm and a Greens bill also before the Senate.
There are now more same-sex marriage bills before Parliament than there are women frontbench MPs serving in the Abbott government.